Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Andorra win with a probability of 41.19%. A win for Moldova had a probability of 36.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Andorra win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.51%) and 3-1 (5.02%). The likeliest Moldova win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.