Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Andorra had a probability of 20.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for an Andorra win it was 1-0 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.