Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 48.46%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Guadeloupe in this match.