Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barbados win with a probability of 46.71%. A win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barbados win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Guadeloupe win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.