Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guadeloupe win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 20.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guadeloupe win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 1-0 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.