Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oman win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 19.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oman win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.39%) and 1-2 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Lebanon win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oman would win this match.