Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 29, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles
Bolivar4 - 0Cerro Porteno
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Bolivar 1-1 Cerro Porteno
Cerro Porteno have been strong from a defensive perspective in recent weeks, and they may be able to limit the number of opportunities their hosts can create. Bolivar's record at home is phenomenal, but considering they are in poor overall form, they could be held to a draw on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 56.67%. A win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 22.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.13%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Cerro Porteno win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolivar | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
56.67% ( -0.1) | 21.26% ( 0.06) | 22.07% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
