MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 21:28:41| >> :60:114:114:
Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 25, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio General Pablo Rojas
Sporting Cristal

Cerro Porteno
2 - 2
Cristal

Dominguez (42'), Carrizo (44')
Viera (15'), Perez (30'), Dominguez (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Emanuel Gonzalez (37'), Lutiger (90+2')
Lutiger (36'), Romero (61'), Tavara (67')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Cerro Porteno and Sporting Cristal.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Cerro Porteno
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Bolivar 3-0 Cristal
Thursday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Porteno win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sporting Cristal had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Porteno win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Sporting Cristal win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerro PortenoDrawSporting Cristal
51.51% (-0.509 -0.51) 24.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 23.77% (0.48 0.48)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.44 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.38% (0.319 0.32)50.62% (-0.318 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.47% (0.281 0.28)72.53% (-0.28 -0.28)
Cerro Porteno Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)19.64% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (-0.132 -0.13)51.61% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Sporting Cristal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (0.614 0.61)36.01% (-0.613 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (0.624 0.62)72.79% (-0.622 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Porteno 51.51%
    Sporting Cristal 23.77%
    Draw 24.71%
Cerro PortenoDrawSporting Cristal
1-0 @ 11.51% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.19% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.035 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.08% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 51.51%
1-1 @ 11.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.075 0.08)
3-3 @ 0.9% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 6% (0.107 0.11)
0-2 @ 3.69% (0.075 0.08)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.052 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 23.77%

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4Chelsea38209964432169
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle382061268472166
6Aston Villa38199105851766
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8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton38161396659761
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RSouthampton3826302686-6012


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