Copa Libertadores | Third Round | 1st Leg
Mar 5, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio de la Universidad Nacional San Agustin
Melgar0 - 1Cerro Porteno
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Melgar and Cerro Porteno.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro Porteno 3-1 Monagas
Thursday, February 27 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Thursday, February 27 at 10pm in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melgar win with a probability of 55.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cerro Porteno had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melgar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Cerro Porteno win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melgar | Draw | Cerro Porteno |
55.05% ( -0.28) | 24.42% ( 0.02) | 20.53% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 48.23% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
