MX23RW : Thursday, May 22 13:12:04| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
NEC
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
NAC Breda

Nijmegen
3 - 0
NAC Breda

Pereira (31'), Linssen (67', 70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Eredivisie clash between NEC and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 0-3 Nijmegen
Sunday, May 11 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Sittard 1-0 NAC Breda
Saturday, May 10 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: NEC 2-0 NAC Breda

The visitors are limping towards the end of the season in their winless run with no need to fight for survival, while their hosts will be buoyed by a victory over Ajax and can climb towards the top half, and we back NEC to prevail with home advantage as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 63.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 16.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawNAC Breda
63.83% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 19.54% (-0.026 -0.03) 16.62% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.98% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.35% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)37.65% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)59.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)11.19% (-0.022 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.31% (0.045999999999992 0.05)35.69% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.10000000000001 -0.1)35.84% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.1 -0.1)72.62% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    NEC 63.83%
    NAC Breda 16.62%
    Draw 19.54%
NECDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.21% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.69% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 4.41%
Total : 63.83%
1-1 @ 9.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 19.54%
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 16.62%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs NAC Breda

NEC
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
NAC Breda
0.0%
20
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
NAC Breda
1-0
Nijmegen
Janosek (81')
Greiml (67'), Van den Bergh (73')
Fernandes (69')

Verdonk (45')
May 3, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Nijmegen
0-2
NAC Breda

Barreto (66')
El Allouchi (10' pen.), Van Hooijdonk (20')
Oct 30, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 10
NAC Breda
0-1
Nijmegen

Haye (25'), Malone (35'), Mashart (88')
Ondaan (8')
Bruijn (62'), van Ottele (68'), Odenthal (90+5')
Feb 28, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 28
Nijmegen
1-1
NAC Breda
Flemming (79')
Kvida (45'), Wolters (75'), van Landschoot (76')
Verschueren (61')
Monsalve (37'), Stokkers (45'), Riera (89')
Oct 4, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 9
NAC Breda
1-0
Nijmegen
Van Hooijdonk (68')
Ilic (30'), Verschueren (80')

Van de Looi (58'), Kvida (72'), van Rooij (88'), Wolters (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPSV EindhovenPSV342545103396479
2Ajax34246467323578
3Feyenoord34208676383868
4FC UtrechtUtrecht341810662451764
5AZ AlkmaarAZ34169958372157
6FC Twente341591062491354
7Go Ahead Eagles34149115755251
8NECNijmegen34127155146543
9Heerenveen34127154257-1543
10PEC Zwolle341011134351-841
11Fortuna SittardSittard34118153754-1741
12Sparta RotterdamSparta34912133943-439
13Groningen34109154053-1339
14Heracles34911144263-2138
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3489173458-2433
16Willem II3468203456-2226
RRKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3467214474-3025
RAlmere CityAlmere City34410202364-4122


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