

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen | 
| 34.91% ( | 25.36% ( | 39.73% ( | 
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 52.51% ( | 47.49% ( | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 30.3% ( | 69.7% ( | 
| NAC Breda Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.7% ( | 26.3% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.57% ( | 61.43% ( | 
| Groningen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.34% ( | 23.66% ( | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.24% ( | 57.76% ( | 
| Score Analysis | 
| NAC Breda | Draw | Groningen | 
| 1-0 @ 8.31% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 3-0 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( 0-0 @ 6.22% ( 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 1-2 @ 8.63% ( 0-2 @ 6.46% ( 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.11% ( 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.73% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 74 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 32 | 23 | 4 | 5 | 96 | 37 | 59 | 73 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 65 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 61 | 44 | 17 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 60 | 44 | 16 | 54 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 54 | 34 | 20 | 53 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 48 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 40 | 
| 9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 39 | 
| 10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 38 | 
| 11 | Groningen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 38 | 
| 12 | Heracles | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 38 | 
| 13 | NECNijmegen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 45 | 1 | 37 | 
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 35 | 
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 32 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 25 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 32 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 39 | 69 | -30 | 22 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 32 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | 62 | -41 | 20 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
