La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 14, 2025 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Mallorca

Mbappe (68'), Ramon Naveros (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Valjent (11')
Sanchez (39'), Samu (55'), Maffeo (82')

Reaction

Real Madrid attacker Kylian Mbappe on March 29, 2025

Real Madrid superstar Kylian Mbappe surpasses the legendary Alfredo Di Stefano with latest goal

Kylian Mbappe set more history for Real Madrid on Wednesday night when he found the back of the net against Mallorca at Bernabeu.

May 15, 07:37

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 4-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Mallorca

All competitions

Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, May 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
76.28% ( -0.44)	14.14% ( 0.19)	9.58% ( 0.25)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.15% (

-0.11)

28.85% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.21% (

-0.14)

49.79% (

0.14)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.77% (

-0.11)

6.23% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.47% (

-0.29)

23.53% (

0.29)

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.62% (

0.41)

40.38% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23% (

0.37)

77% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 76.28%

Mallorca 9.58%

Draw 14.14%

Real Madrid	Draw	Mallorca
2-0 @ 9.69% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.69% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 6-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 4.55% Total : 76.28%	1-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 14.14%	1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.58%