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La Liga | Gameweek 36
May 14, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Mallorca logo

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Mallorca

Mbappe (68'), Ramon Naveros (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Valjent (11')
Sanchez (39'), Samu (55'), Maffeo (82')

The Match

Match Report

Reigning Spanish champions Real Madrid score a last-gasp winner against Mallorca at Bernabeu to take their La Liga title race with Barcelona to another day.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Mallorca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Mallorca could line up for Wednesday's La Liga clash with Real Madrid at the Santiago Bernabeu.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mallorca 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, May 10 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 76.28%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 9.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.33%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawMallorca
76.28% (-0.443 -0.44)14.14% (0.188 0.19)9.58% (0.2539 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.324 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.15% (-0.111 -0.11)28.85% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.21% (-0.136 -0.14)49.79% (0.136 0.14)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.77% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)6.23% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.47% (-0.289 -0.29)23.53% (0.287 0.29)
Mallorca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.62% (0.412 0.41)40.38% (-0.413 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23% (0.371 0.37)77% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 76.28%
    Mallorca 9.58%
    Draw 14.14%
Real MadridDrawMallorca
2-0 @ 9.69% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-0 @ 8.97% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.79% (0.050999999999998 0.05)
3-1 @ 8.13% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.22% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 5.64% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 3.45% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.13% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.56% (0.013 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
6-1 @ 1.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 4.55%
Total : 76.28%
1-1 @ 6.33% (0.074 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.067 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.52% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.14%
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 2.28% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.04% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.58%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Mallorca

Real Madrid
79.1%
Draw
13.6%
Mallorca
7.3%
110
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2025 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
3-0
Mallorca
Bellingham (63'), Valjent (90+3' og.), Rodrygo (90+5')
Bellingham (66'), Bellingham (66'), Camavinga (74'), Camavinga (74')
Aug 18, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 1
Mallorca
1-1
Real Madrid
Muriqi (53')
Arrasate (45+3'), Maffeo (45+3')
Rodrygo (13')
Mendy (90+7')
Apr 13, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Mallorca
0-1
Real Madrid

Raillo (16'), Muriqi (82')
Tchouameni (48')
Lunin (85')
Jan 3, 2024 6.15pm
Gameweek 19
Real Madrid
1-0
Mallorca
Rudiger (78')
Rodrygo (35'), Lunin (45+2')

Van der Heyden (1'), Nastasic (61'), Maffeo (70')
Feb 5, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 20
Mallorca
1-0
Real Madrid
Nacho (13' og.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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