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La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Celta Vigo

Guler (33'), Mbappe (39', 48')
Bellingham (45'), Ramon Naveros (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rodriguez Galiano (69'), Swedberg (76')
Lago Amil (62')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga contest with Celta Vigo at Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the La Liga clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barcelona 3-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, April 26 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-0 Villarreal
Wednesday, April 23 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
66.48% (-0.97499999999999 -0.97)17.71% (0.204 0.2)15.8% (0.764 0.76)
Both teams to score 62.14% (1.208 1.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.77% (0.655 0.66)30.22% (-0.661 -0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.54% (0.784 0.78)51.46% (-0.78899999999999 -0.79)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.5% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)8.49% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70.57% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)29.42% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.9% (1.344 1.34)32.09% (-1.351 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.43% (1.502 1.5)68.56% (-1.508 -1.51)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.48%
    Celta Vigo 15.8%
    Draw 17.71%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.342 -0.34)
3-1 @ 7.74% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.293 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.72% (-0.265 -0.27)
4-1 @ 4.77% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 4.4% (0.137 0.14)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-2 @ 2.71% (0.08 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.36% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.097 -0.1)
5-2 @ 1.34% (0.037 0.04)
4-3 @ 1.03% (0.067 0.07)
6-1 @ 0.97% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 66.48%
1-1 @ 7.64% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.176 0.18)
0-0 @ 2.72% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 17.71%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-1 @ 3.1%
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.138 0.14)
0-2 @ 1.76% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.64% (0.114 0.11)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 15.8%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo

Real Madrid
78.8%
Draw
11.1%
Celta Vigo
10.1%
99
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2025 8.30pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
5-2
Celta Vigo
Mbappe (37'), Junior (48'), Endrick (108', 119'), Valverde (112')
Asencio del Rosario (90+1'), Endrick (109')
Bamba (83'), Alonso (90+1' pen.)
Villar (96'), Alonso (101'), Starfelt (101'), Iglesias (111')
Oct 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Swedberg (51')
Sotelo (82'), Alonso (90')
Mbappe (20'), Junior (66')
Ancelotti (19'), Vazquez (75')
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 30
Real Madrid
2-0
Celta Vigo
Asensio (42'), Militao (48')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBarcelona382846102396388
2Real Madrid38266678384084
3Atletico MadridAtletico382210668303876
4Athletic Bilbao381913654292570
5Villarreal382010871512070
6Real BetisBetis381612105750760
7Celta Vigo38167155957255
8Osasuna381216104852-452
9Rayo Vallecano381313124145-452
10Mallorca38139163544-948
11Valencia381113144454-1046
12Real Sociedad38137183546-1146
13Getafe38119183439-542
14AlavesAlaves381012163848-1042
15Espanyol38119184051-1142
16Sevilla381011174255-1341
17GironaGirona38118194460-1641
18Leganes38913163956-1740
RLas PalmasLas Palmas3888224061-2132
RReal ValladolidValladolid3844302690-6416


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