La Liga | Gameweek 34
May 4, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
FT(HT: 2-0)
Rodriguez Galiano (69'),
Swedberg (76')
Lago Amil (62')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.48%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.29%) and 3-1 (7.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result |
Real Madrid | Draw | Celta Vigo |
66.48% ( -0.97) | 17.71% ( 0.2) | 15.8% ( 0.76) |
Both teams to score 62.14% ( 1.21) |
69.77% ( 0.66) | 30.22% ( -0.66) |
48.54% ( 0.78) | 51.46% ( -0.79) |
91.5% ( -0.04) | 8.49% ( 0.03) |