Real Madrid

3 - 2

Leganes

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.