La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 29

Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Leganes

Mbappe (32' pen., 76'), Bellingham (47')
Asencio del Rosario (62')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Garcia (33'), Raba (41')
Hernandez (62'), Garcia (65'), Tapia (74'), Rodriguez (89')

Reaction

Real Madrid's Kylian Mbappe on February 19, 2025

Real Madrid sharpshooter Kylian Mbappe matches Cristiano Ronaldo total and is now chasing down all-time Los Blancos record

Kylian Mbappe equals Cristiano Ronaldo's 33-goal haul from his debut season at Real Madrid with a brace in his team's 3-2 success over Leganes at Bernabeu.

Mar 30, 07:26

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Leganes

All competitions

Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Betis
Sunday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Leganes
77.77% ( 0.02)	13.85% ( -0)	8.38% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.32% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.25% (

-0.03)

31.74% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.73% (

-0.04)

53.26% (

0.04)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.42% (

-0)

6.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.52% (

-0.01)

24.48% (

0.01)

Leganes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94% (

-0.05)

45.06% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.02% (

-0.04)

80.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 77.76%

Leganes 8.38%

Draw 13.85%

Real Madrid	Draw	Leganes
2-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.94% ( -0) 4-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.67% 6-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.78% Total : 77.76%	1-1 @ 6.43% 2-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.96% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 13.85%	1-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 8.38%