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Las Palmas
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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Leganes logo

Real Madrid
3 - 2
Leganes

Mbappe (32' pen., 76'), Bellingham (47')
Asencio del Rosario (62')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Garcia (33'), Raba (41')
Hernandez (62'), Garcia (65'), Tapia (74'), Rodriguez (89')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Real Madrid come from behind to record a 3-2 victory over Leganes at Bernabeu in La Liga on Saturday night.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spanish champions Real Madrid could line up in Saturday's La Liga clash with struggling Leganes.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Leganes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 1-2 Real Madrid
Saturday, March 15 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 2-3 Betis
Sunday, March 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.77%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 8.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.43%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-2 (2.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawLeganes
77.77% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 13.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 8.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.32% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.25% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)31.74% (0.032 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.73% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.26% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.42% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)6.58% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.52% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)24.48% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.94% (-0.052 -0.05)45.06% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.02% (-0.041 -0.04)80.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 77.76%
    Leganes 8.38%
    Draw 13.85%
Real MadridDrawLeganes
2-0 @ 10.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.96% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.07% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 6.77% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
5-0 @ 3.69% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
6-0 @ 1.67%
6-1 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-2 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 77.76%
1-1 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.96% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 13.85%
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-1 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 8.38%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Leganes

Real Madrid
80.2%
Draw
12.8%
Leganes
7.0%
86
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2025 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Leganes
2-3
Real Madrid
Cruz (39' pen., 59')
Gonzalez (67')
Modric (18'), Endrick (25'), Garcia (90+3')
Ramon Naveros (79'), Junior (82'), Modric (87')
Nov 24, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
Leganes
0-3
Real Madrid

de la Fuente (49'), Altimira (69')
Mbappe (43'), Valverde (66'), Bellingham (85')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Oct 30, 2019 8.15pm
Apr 15, 2019 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33244589325776
2Real Madrid33226566313572
3Atletico MadridAtletico33199556272966
4Athletic Bilbao331612550262460
5Villarreal331510856451155
6Real BetisBetis3315995041954
7Celta Vigo33137135049146
8Osasuna33101494046-644
9Mallorca33128133138-744
10Real Sociedad33126153237-542
11Rayo Vallecano331011123542-741
12Getafe33109143130139
13Espanyol33109143542-739
14Valencia33912123749-1239
15Sevilla33910143544-937
16GironaGirona3398164052-1235
17AlavesAlaves33810153546-1134
18Las PalmasLas Palmas3388173853-1532
19Leganes33612153049-1930
20Real ValladolidValladolid3344252481-5716


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