Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Leganes |
| 51.28% ( | 25.42% | 23.3% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.21% | 53.79% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.74% | 75.26% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( | 21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( | 53.77% ( |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.8% ( | 38.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.04% ( | 74.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 12.51% 2-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.4% 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 3-1 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.91% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.27% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.41% | 0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 5.8% ( 0-2 @ 3.71% ( 1-3 @ 1.86% 2-3 @ 1.45% 0-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.57% Total : 23.3% |