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La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 8, 2025 at 1pm UK
Estadio de Balaidos
Leganes logo

Celta Vigo
2 - 1
Leganes

Mingueza (26'), Alfon (45+1')
Rodriguez (56'), Jailson (70'), Mingueza (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rosier (19')
Nastasic (9'), Saenz (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Leganes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 2-2 Celta Vigo
Saturday, March 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Getafe
Sunday, March 2 at 1pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 51.28%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (7.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta VigoDrawLeganes
51.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.42%23.3% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 48.83% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.21%53.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.74%75.26%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.01% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.24% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)53.77% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Leganes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.8% (0.0019999999999953 0)38.2% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.04% (0.0010000000000012 0)74.96% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 51.27%
    Leganes 23.3%
    Draw 25.41%
Celta VigoDrawLeganes
1-0 @ 12.51%
2-0 @ 9.77%
2-1 @ 9.4%
3-0 @ 5.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.89%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.91%
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 51.27%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 8.02%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.72%
1-2 @ 5.8% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 23.3%

How you voted: Celta Vigo vs Leganes

Celta Vigo
75.9%
Draw
24.1%
Leganes
0.0%
29
Head to Head
Oct 27, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 11
Leganes
3-0
Celta Vigo
Garcia (59'), Brasanac (78'), Gonzalez (82')
Tapia (71'), Neyou (75')

Starfelt (62'), Mingueza (84')
Feb 22, 2020 12pm
Gameweek 25
Celta Vigo
1-0
Leganes
Aspas (62')
Hernandez (24'), Suarez (26'), Murillo (31')
Bradaric (21')

Silva (14'), Siovas (24'), Oscar (62')
Dec 8, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Leganes
3-2
Celta Vigo
Oscar (15', 39'), Rodrigues (55')
Recio (5'), Perez (42'), Tarin (49')
Araujo (64'), Aspas (81')
Yokuslu (30'), Fernandez (49'), Aspas (94'), Alvarez (94')
Fernandez (71')
Apr 27, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 35
Leganes
0-0
Celta Vigo
Recio (45')
Dec 14, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 16
Celta Vigo
0-0
Leganes
Junca (28'), Gomez (35'), Costas (85')
En-Nesyri (17'), Vesga (24'), Cuellar (90')