La Liga | Gameweek 25
Feb 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad3 - 0Leganes
Zakharyan (12'), Kubo (48'), Ander Olasagasti (80')
Aguerd (58'), Kubo (61'), Ander Olasagasti (74')
Aguerd (58'), Kubo (61'), Ander Olasagasti (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
We said: Real Sociedad 2-1 Leganes
Leganes have only lost four of their 12 away league games this season, while Real Sociedad have posted just five victories from their 12 home La Liga fixtures - it would not be a surprise to see a draw on Sunday, but we believe that Real Sociedad's extra quality will allow them to secure all three points this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Leganes |
64.55% ( -0.77) | 21.59% ( 0.31) | 13.87% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 43.73% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
