Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol | 
| 51.88% (  0.07) | 26.04% (  -0.15) | 22.08% (  0.08) | 
| Both teams to score 45.74% (  0.51) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 42.87% (  0.61) | 57.13% (  -0.61) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22% (  0.49) | 77.99% (  -0.49) | 
| Real Sociedad Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 77.89% (  0.29) | 22.11% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% (  0.43) | 55.47% (  -0.43) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 58.72% (  0.44) | 41.28% (  -0.44) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.2% (  0.38) | 77.8% (  -0.38) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Espanyol | 
| 1-0 @ 13.77% (  -0.2) 2-0 @ 10.39% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.2% (  0.05) 3-0 @ 5.23% (  0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% (  0.07) 3-2 @ 2.05% (  0.05) 4-0 @ 1.97% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 1.75% (  0.04) Other @ 2.9% Total : 51.87% | 1-1 @ 12.18% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.13% (  -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.07% (  0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.08% (  -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.39% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 3.57% (  0) 1-3 @ 1.59% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.2% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% (  0.01) Other @ 1.2% Total : 22.08% |