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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.08%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.79%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid | 
| 19.93% (  -0.6) | 25.2% (  -0.05) | 54.87% (  0.65) | 
| Both teams to score 45.21% (  -0.68) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 43.67% (  -0.46) | 56.33% (  0.46) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 22.64% (  -0.37) | 77.36% (  0.37) | 
| Espanyol Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.9% (  -0.92) | 43.1% (  0.92) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.62% (  -0.78) | 79.37% (  0.78) | 
| Real Madrid Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.46% (  0.08) | 20.54% (  -0.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% (  0.13) | 53.05% (  -0.13) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Madrid | 
| 1-0 @ 7.45% (  -0.06) 2-1 @ 4.96% (  -0.15) 2-0 @ 3.14% (  -0.11) 3-1 @ 1.39% (  -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.1% (  -0.06) Other @ 1.88% Total : 19.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% (  -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.85% (  0.15) 2-2 @ 3.93% (  -0.11) Other @ 0.63% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 14.01% (  0.28) 0-2 @ 11.08% (  0.24) 1-2 @ 9.33% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.85% (  0.14) 1-3 @ 4.93% (  -0) 0-4 @ 2.32% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.07% (  -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.95% (  0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 54.86% | 
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