La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 22, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu

Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla

Mbappe (10'), Valverde (20'), Rodrygo (34'), Diaz (53')
Ancelotti (45+2'), Valverde (78')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Romero (35'), Lukebakio (85')
Sambi Lokonga (12'), Salas (76')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-0 Pachuca
Wednesday, December 18 at 5pm in FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Goals
for

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.65%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 10.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.7%), while for a Sevilla win it was 1-2 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
72.65% ( 1.14)	16.42% ( -0.31)	10.93% ( -0.84)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-1.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.71% (

-0.96)

36.28% (

0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.59% (

-1.05)

58.41% (

1.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.31% (

0.02)

8.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.09% (

0.04)

29.91% (

-0.04)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81% (

-2.1)

43.19% (

2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55% (

-1.81)

79.45% (

1.81)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 72.64%

Sevilla 10.93%

Draw 16.42%

Real Madrid	Draw	Sevilla
2-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.54) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.22) 5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.14) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.06) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.06) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 72.64%	1-1 @ 7.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.27) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.03% Total : 16.42%	1-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.22% Total : 10.93%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

Real Madrid

85.7%

Draw

10.3%

Sevilla

4.0%

Head to Head

Feb 25, 2024 8pm

Gameweek 26

Real Madrid

1-0

Sevilla

Modric (81')
Ancelotti (13'), Kroos (35')

Ocampos (70'), Kouassi (90+1'), Sow (90+8')

> Preview

Oct 21, 2023 5.30pm

Gameweek 10

Sevilla

1-1

Real Madrid

Alaba (74' og.)
Ramos (76'), Navas (78'), Ocampos (85'), Soumare (87'), Lamela (90+7')

Carvajal (78')
Junior (85'), Ancelotti (85'), Camavinga (90+4')

> Preview

May 27, 2023 6pm

Gameweek 37

Sevilla

1-2

Real Madrid

Mir (3')
Jordan (90+1'), Torres (90+7')
Acuna (83')

Rodrygo (29', 69')
Vazquez (33'), Tchouameni (65'), Nacho (84'), Ceballos (90+1')

> Preview

Oct 22, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 11

Real Madrid

3-1

Sevilla

Modric (5'), Vazquez (79'), Valverde (81')

Lamela (54')

> Preview

Apr 17, 2022 8pm

Gameweek 32

Sevilla

2-3

Real Madrid

Rakitic (21'), Lamela (25')
Martial (39'), Carlos (80'), Torres (83')

Rodrygo (50'), Nacho (82'), Benzema (90+2')
Camavinga (31'), Nacho (78'), Kroos (90+6'), Mariano (90+9')

> Preview

Form Guide

Real Madrid 3-0 Pachuca

Rayo Vallecano 3-3 Real Madrid

Atalanta 2-3 Real Madrid

Girona 0-3 Real Madrid

Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid 2-0 Getafe

Sevilla 1-0 Celta Vigo

Atletico 4-3 Sevilla

Olot 1-3 Sevilla

Sevilla 1-1 Osasuna

Sevilla 1-0 Rayo Vallecano

Leganes 1-0 Sevilla

Build-up

Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on August 25, 2024

Real Madrid vs. Sevilla: Los Blancos receive defensive injury boost for final match of 2024

Real Madrid welcome French defender Ferland Mendy back into their squad for Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla at Bernabeu.

Dec 21, 17:44

Sevilla's Loic Bade on September 1, 2024

Real Madrid vs. Sevilla: Predicted Los Nervionenses XI for La Liga clash

Sports Mole looks at how Sevilla could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Real Madrid.

Dec 20, 20:00

Kylian Mbappe celebrates scoring for Real Madrid on December 10, 2024

Real Madrid vs. Sevilla: Predicted Los Blancos XI for La Liga clash

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up in Sunday's La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Dec 20, 19:59

Vinicius Jr (Real Madrid CF) gestures during the LaLiga match on September 24, 2024

Real Madrid injury, suspension news vs. Sevilla: Vinicius Junior blow, Jude Bellingham fitness a concern

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of the La Liga clash with Sevilla.

Dec 19, 09:59

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Barcelona	38	28	4	6	102	39	63	88
2	Real Madrid	38	26	6	6	78	38	40	84
3	Atletico Madrid Atletico	38	22	10	6	68	30	38	76
4	Athletic Bilbao	38	19	13	6	54	29	25	70
5	Villarreal	38	20	10	8	71	51	20	70
6	Real Betis Betis	38	16	12	10	57	50	7	60
7	Celta Vigo	38	16	7	15	59	57	2	55
8	Osasuna	38	12	16	10	48	52	-4	52
9	Rayo Vallecano	38	13	13	12	41	45	-4	52
10	Mallorca	38	13	9	16	35	44	-9	48
11	Valencia	38	11	13	14	44	54	-10	46
12	Real Sociedad	38	13	7	18	35	46	-11	46
13	Getafe	38	11	9	18	34	39	-5	42
14	Alaves Alaves	38	10	12	16	38	48	-10	42
15	Espanyol	38	11	9	18	40	51	-11	42
16	Sevilla	38	10	11	17	42	55	-13	41
17	Girona Girona	38	11	8	19	44	60	-16	41
18	Leganes	38	9	13	16	39	56	-17	40
R	Las Palmas Las Palmas	38	8	8	22	40	61	-21	32
R	Real Valladolid Valladolid	38	4	4	30	26	90	-64	16
					> La Liga Full Table

La Liga

Real Madrid4 - 2Sevilla

The Match

Match Report

Team News

Preview

Predicted Lineups

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

Sevilla

Data Analysis

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Sevilla

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Real Madrid
4 - 2
Sevilla