Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.