Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Girona win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.