

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Girona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Girona.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Elche |
| 62.76% ( | 22.33% ( | 14.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.08% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.18% ( | 52.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( | 74.44% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( | 16.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.1% ( | 45.9% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.67% ( | 47.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.27% ( | 82.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 13.99% ( 2-0 @ 12.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 3-0 @ 7.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.74% ( 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 5-0 @ 1.26% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 5-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 1.77% Total : 62.76% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 2-2 @ 3.55% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0-2 @ 2.16% ( 1-3 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
