Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.7%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.