Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 85.93%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 4.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 4-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.63%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
85.93% (![]() | 9.76% (![]() | 4.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.75% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.1% (![]() | 28.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.14% (![]() | 49.86% (![]() |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.42% (![]() | 4.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.31% (![]() | 18.69% (![]() |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
44.8% (![]() | 55.2% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12% (![]() | 88% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Elche |
3-0 @ 12.35% 2-0 @ 12.01% 4-0 @ 9.53% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.34% 2-1 @ 7.14% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.66% 5-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.18% 6-1 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% 7-0 @ 1.33% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.69% Total : 85.92% | 1-1 @ 4.63% (![]() 0-0 @ 2.53% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 2.12% ( ![]() Other @ 0.49% Total : 9.76% | 0-1 @ 1.5% 1-2 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 1.44% Total : 4.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |