Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 2-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.