Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 16.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Valladolid |
60.74% ( 0.68) | 22.97% ( -0.18) | 16.29% ( -0.5) |
Both teams to score 45.2% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.04% ( -0.07) | 52.96% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.44% ( -0.06) | 74.56% ( 0.06) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.94% ( 0.22) | 17.06% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.77% ( 0.38) | 47.23% ( -0.37) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.49% ( -0.68) | 45.51% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.66% ( -0.55) | 81.34% ( 0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Real Valladolid |
1-0 @ 13.72% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 60.73% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.64% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.41% Total : 16.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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