Winless in seven, including four defeats for Girona, is relegation form, and unless they get a result here, they could fall into the bottom three come the end of the weekend.
After a tough run, Bilbao found the winning formula again last week and should be able to overcome Girona here, despite some key injuries.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
0.16) 
-0.22) 
