Osasuna are proving difficult to predict this campaign, but are probably slight favourites heading into this one, given the poor form of the home side.
However, as the need for points becomes increasingly urgent for Girona, we expect that they will be up for the fight and should be able to nick at least a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.81) 
0.06) 
