Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 74.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (3.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.