Both of these sides will be bidding to bounce back from defeats last time out, and we can see the points being shared on Sunday afternoon. Osasuna, as the hosts, should be the favourites, but Rayo have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils in this match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 46.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
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