Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 44.11%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.