Giving the level of their start to the campaign, Osasuna should be respected ahead of this contest with the foundations having been laid in their opening two matches. However, we feel that Betis will do just about enough to edge this game, possibly by a single goal.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 22.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Betis in this match.
0.29) 
-0.34) 
