Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 77.78%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 7.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.2%) and 3-0 (11.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.