Girona's injury list is fairly lengthy at the moment, but Real Valladolid could have a full squad for this match, and we just have a feeling that the visitors could shade this contest. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a home win or a draw, but we are backing Real Valladolid to triumph.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
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