With a victory already on the board, Girona can afford to play with more freedom when they take to the pitch for this fixture. However, we cannot ignore the quality of the visitors, who we expect to edge this contest by the odd goal in three after a competitive game.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.03) 
