There is not too much between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting a tight match on Monday evening. A defeat for either would be damaging for their confidence, even at this stage of the season, but we can see a close match finishing all square.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
3.83) 
-0.25) 
