Sevilla are in need of a victory due to their underwhelming start to the season, but Almeria will certainly be fired up to secure a positive result. We are expecting a close match on Saturday but believe that Sevilla's additional quality will allow them to claim a narrow victory at Power Horse Stadium.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
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