Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 9.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.