

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.58%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.16%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 11.62% ( | 18.8% ( | 69.58% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.5% ( | 45.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( | 67.83% ( |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.99% ( | 48.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.76% ( | 83.24% ( |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.09% ( | 11.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.74% ( | 37.26% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.2% ( 2-1 @ 3.28% ( 2-0 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.62% | 1-1 @ 8.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-2 @ 3.48% ( Other @ 0.67% Total : 18.8% | 0-2 @ 12.94% ( 0-1 @ 12.16% ( 1-2 @ 9.5% ( 0-3 @ 9.18% ( 1-3 @ 6.74% ( 0-4 @ 4.88% ( 1-4 @ 3.58% ( 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0-5 @ 2.08% ( 1-5 @ 1.52% ( 2-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 69.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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