Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.99%) and 0-3 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.41%), while for a Elche win it was 1-0 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 10.31% | 17.71% | 71.98% |
| Both teams to score 44.88% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% | 44.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% | 66.62% |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.38% | 49.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.6% | 84.4% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.09% | 10.92% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.91% | 35.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 3.8% 2-1 @ 2.95% 2-0 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.24% Total : 10.31% | 1-1 @ 8.41% 0-0 @ 5.42% 2-2 @ 3.26% Other @ 0.62% Total : 17.71% | 0-2 @ 13.28% 0-1 @ 11.99% 0-3 @ 9.81% 1-2 @ 9.31% 1-3 @ 6.88% 0-4 @ 5.43% 1-4 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.41% 0-5 @ 2.41% 1-5 @ 1.69% 2-4 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.62% Total : 71.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 28 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 4 | 17 | 22 |
| 3 | Real Sociedad | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 20 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletic Bilbao | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 18 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 15 |
| 8 | Valencia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 15 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 10 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 20 | -9 | 10 |
| 14 | Espanyol | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Mallorca | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 9 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Almeria | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | CadizCadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 17 | -13 | 7 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 3 |
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