

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Elche had a probability of 10.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.8%) and 3-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Elche | 
| 70.32% (  0.02) | 19.09% (  -0.02) | 10.59% (  0) | 
| Both teams to score 41.52% (  0.05) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 50.62% (  0.06) | 49.38% (  -0.06) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 28.58% (  0.06) | 71.42% (  -0.06) | 
| Valencia Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.16% (  0.03) | 12.84% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.8% (  0.05) | 39.2% (  -0.05) | 
| Elche Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 47.63% (  0.04) | 52.36% (  -0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.76% (  0.03) | 86.24% (  -0.02) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Valencia | Draw | Elche | 
| 2-0 @ 14.16% (  -0.01) 1-0 @ 13.8% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.69% (  0) 2-1 @ 9.16% (  0) 3-1 @ 6.27% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 4.97% (  0) 4-1 @ 3.22% (  0.01) 5-0 @ 2.04% (  0) 3-2 @ 2.03% (  0) 5-1 @ 1.32% (  0) 4-2 @ 1.04% (  0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 70.32% | 1-1 @ 8.93% (  -0) 0-0 @ 6.72% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.96% (  0) Other @ 0.48% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.35% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 2.89% (  0) 0-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.94% Total : 10.59% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
| > La Liga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
