Elche have endured a rough start to the 2022-23 campaign and will set out to claim their first win of the season on Monday. However, they have managed just three wins in 12 away games this year. However, given their fine record against Rayo Vallecano, we predict that Rodriguez's side will hold out for a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 66.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Elche had a probability of 12.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.12%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.
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