Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 69.98%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 11.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.