

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Osasuna | 5 | 4 | 12 | 
| 6 | Villarreal | 5 | 8 | 10 | 
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 5 | 5 | 10 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Espanyol | 5 | -4 | 4 | 
| 16 | Sevilla | 5 | -4 | 4 | 
| 17 | Getafe | 5 | -8 | 4 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 60.14% (  -0.2) | 22.91% (  -0.02) | 16.95% (  0.21) | 
| Both teams to score 46.64% (  0.45) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.28% (  0.38) | 51.72% (  -0.38) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.5% (  0.33) | 73.49% (  -0.33) | 
| Villarreal Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.17% (  0.07) | 16.83% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.17% (  0.12) | 46.82% (  -0.12) | 
| Sevilla Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 56.08% (  0.5) | 43.91% (  -0.5) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.94% (  0.41) | 80.05% (  -0.41) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Villarreal | Draw | Sevilla | 
| 1-0 @ 13.17% (  -0.17) 2-0 @ 11.73% (  -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.66% (  0.03) 3-0 @ 6.97% (  -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.74% (  0.03) 4-0 @ 3.11% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.56% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% (  0.04) 5-0 @ 1.11% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.05% (  0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% (  0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 60.13% | 1-1 @ 10.83% 0-0 @ 7.39% (  -0.11) 2-2 @ 3.97% (  0.07) Other @ 0.71% Total : 22.9% | 0-1 @ 6.08% (  -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.46% (  0.07) 0-2 @ 2.5% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 1.22% (  0.03) 2-3 @ 1.09% (  0.03) Other @ 1.59% Total : 16.95% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 | 
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 | 
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 | 
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 | 
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 | 
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 | 
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 | 
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 | 
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 | 
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 | 
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 | 
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 | 
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 | 
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 | 
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 | 
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 | 
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 | 
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 | 
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 | 
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 | 
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