

| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Valencia | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Espanyol | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Real Betis | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Barcelona | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 4 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 5 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Barcelona |
| 28.1% ( | 24.4% ( | 47.5% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.09% ( | 45.91% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.78% ( | 68.22% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( | 29.97% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.91% ( | 66.09% ( |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.58% ( | 19.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.76% ( | 51.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.01% ( 2-1 @ 6.92% ( 2-0 @ 4.23% ( 3-1 @ 2.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 3-0 @ 1.7% ( Other @ 3.18% Total : 28.1% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0-0 @ 5.82% ( 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0-2 @ 7.82% ( 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0-3 @ 4.27% ( 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 1-4 @ 2.11% ( 0-4 @ 1.75% ( 2-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 47.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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