Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.