Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 19.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 60.14% | 20.62% | 19.24% |
| Both teams to score 58.45% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.54% | 60.46% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.64% | 12.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.81% | 38.19% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% | 33.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.07% | 69.92% |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 9% 1-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 6.9% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.61% 4-0 @ 3.28% 4-2 @ 1.98% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.94% Total : 60.14% | 1-1 @ 9.46% 2-2 @ 5.44% 0-0 @ 4.11% 3-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.2% 0-1 @ 4.52% 0-2 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.21% Total : 19.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Villarreal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Real Betis | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Osasuna | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Valencia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1 |
| 14 | Celta Vigo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 1 |
| 15 | Real Valladolid | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1 |
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | GironaGirona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | CadizCadiz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | ElcheElche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Getafe | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
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