| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 1 | 33 |
| 8 | Nashville SC | 26 | -2 | 33 |
| 9 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | -11 | 33 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 27 | 11 | 42 |
| 2 | Real Salt Lake | 26 | 0 | 40 |
| 3 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 25 | 2 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Dallas had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Dallas win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Dallas |
| 53.65% ( | 24.26% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.8% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Nashville SC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( | 18.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.9% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Dallas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.51% ( | 37.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.73% ( | 74.27% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Nashville SC | Draw | Dallas |
| 1-0 @ 11.76% ( 2-0 @ 9.85% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 5.5% ( 3-1 @ 5.4% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 53.65% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.26% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 3.38% ( 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 68 | 26 | 42 | 64 |
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 33 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 62 |
| 3 | New York City FCNY City | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 55 | 40 | 15 | 52 |
| 4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 48 | 41 | 7 | 50 |
| 5 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 48 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 33 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 46 |
| 7 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 59 | 54 | 5 | 46 |
| 8 | Orlando City | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 45 |
| 9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 33 | 13 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 42 |
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 41 |
| 11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 38 |
| 13 | Toronto | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 62 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | DC United | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 27 |
