| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 1 | 33 | 
| 7 | Nashville SC | 25 | -1 | 33 | 
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 2 | 32 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dallas | 26 | 10 | 39 | 
| 2 | Minnesota United | 24 | 4 | 35 | 
| 3 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | -2 | 34 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 53.17%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Minnesota United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United | 
| 53.17% (  0.08) | 23.56% (  0.02) | 23.26% (  -0.09) | 
| Both teams to score 54.47% (  -0.16) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 53.7% (  -0.16) | 46.3% (  0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.41% (  -0.15) | 68.59% (  0.15) | 
| Nashville SC Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.64% (  -0.03) | 17.36% (  0.03) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.24% (  -0.05) | 47.76% (  0.05) | 
| Minnesota United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 65.92% (  -0.17) | 34.08% (  0.17) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.23% (  -0.18) | 70.77% (  0.18) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Nashville SC | Draw | Minnesota United | 
| 1-0 @ 10.36% (  0.06) 2-1 @ 9.76% (  0) 2-0 @ 9.07% (  0.04) 3-1 @ 5.7% (  -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.29% (  0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.49% (  -0) 4-0 @ 2.32% (  0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% (  -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.17% | 1-1 @ 11.15% (  0.02) 0-0 @ 5.92% (  0.04) 2-2 @ 5.26% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.1% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.56% | 0-1 @ 6.37% (  0.01) 1-2 @ 6% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% (  -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% (  -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.89% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% (  -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.26% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 | 
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 | 
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 | 
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 | 
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 | 
| 6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 | 
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 | 
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 | 
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 | 
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 | 
| 14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 32 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 68 | 22 | 46 | 64 | 
| 2 | CF MontrealMontreal | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 59 | 49 | 10 | 59 | 
| 3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 50 | 
| 4 | New York City FCNY City | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53 | 39 | 14 | 49 | 
| 5 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 45 | 
| 6 | Orlando City | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 40 | 46 | -6 | 45 | 
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 42 | 
| 8 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 42 | 
| 9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 40 | 
| 10 | New England RevolutionNew England | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 38 | 
| 11 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 31 | 12 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 38 | 
| 12 | Chicago Fire | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 35 | 
| 13 | Toronto | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 34 | 
| 14 | DC United | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 34 | 65 | -31 | 27 | 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
