Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Platense 1-0 Union
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, September 14 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Colon | 13 | 0 | 16 |
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-2 Independiente
Monday, September 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
Monday, September 12 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 19 | Arsenal Sarandi | 12 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
| 21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union | Draw | Independiente |
40.04% ( 0.55) | 28.35% ( -0.02) | 31.61% ( -0.52) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
